Ultra-Short-Term Prediction Method of Wind Power for Massive Wind Power Clusters Based on Feature Mining of Spatiotemporal Correlation
نویسندگان
چکیده
With the centralization of wind power development, power-prediction technology based on clusters has become an important means to reduce volatility power, so a large-scale method is proposed considering prediction stability. Firstly, fluctuating features farms are constructed by acquiring statistical further build divided model using fuzzy clustering algorithm. Then spatiotemporal data obtained attention network train in large scale. Finally, stability predictive performance analyzed comprehensive index evaluation system. The results show that RMSE lower than 0.079 at this paper experience 159 Nei Monggol Autonomous Region China and extreme error better 25% for total capacity farms, which indicates high accuracy.
منابع مشابه
application of upfc based on svpwm for power quality improvement
در سالهای اخیر،اختلالات کیفیت توان مهمترین موضوع می باشد که محققان زیادی را برای پیدا کردن راه حلی برای حل آن علاقه مند ساخته است.امروزه کیفیت توان در سیستم قدرت برای مراکز صنعتی،تجاری وکاربردهای بیمارستانی مسئله مهمی می باشد.مشکل ولتاژمثل شرایط افت ولتاژواضافه جریان ناشی از اتصال کوتاه مدار یا وقوع خطا در سیستم بیشتر مورد توجه می باشد. برای مطالعه افت ولتاژ واضافه جریان،محققان زیادی کار کرده ...
15 صفحه اولUltra-short-term Wind Power Prediction based on Chaos Phase Space Reconstruction and NWP
Wind power prediction accuracy is important for assessing the security and economy when wind power is connected to the grid, and wind speed is the key factor. This article presents a future four hours prediction scheme that combined chaos phase space reconstruction with NWP method. Historical wind speed data are reconstructed as phase space vectors, which are used as the first input part of pre...
متن کاملimproving short-term wind power prediction with neural network and ica algorithm and input feature selection
according to this fact that wind is now a part of global energy portfolio and due to unreliable and discontinuous production of wind energy; prediction of wind power value is proposed as a main necessity. in recent years, various methods have been proposed for wind power prediction. in this paper the prediction structure involves feature selection and use of artificial neural network (ann). in ...
متن کاملShort and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN
In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...
متن کاملShort and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN
In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Energies
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['1996-1073']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en16062727